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~/method $ cat verdict_method.md

methodology

How We Reach Our Verdicts

Every token report on crptch ends with a verdict on a 0-10 scale. It is neither a prediction nor a trading signal. It is a risk assessment based on public market data, backed by a track record that anyone can inspect.

The scale

  • 0-2 · SCAM - a scam pattern: unusable liquidity, inflated FDV or distribution into a pump. Stay away.
  • 3-4 · SKIP - not recommended: the risks outweigh every positive signal.
  • 5-6 · CASINO - degen roulette: it may multiply or go to zero. Only money you are prepared to lose belongs here.
  • 7-8 · WATCH - interesting but unconfirmed: the market metrics are active, so the asset stays on the radar.
  • 9-10 · SIGNAL - a strong signal, assigned rarely and only when supported by evidence such as locked liquidity, revoked mint authority, healthy distribution and a clean deployer history. A token younger than 48 hours with less than $50K in liquidity cannot score above 6.

What we measure

  • Liquidity - below $20K, exiting without severe slippage may be nearly impossible; this is an automatic red flag.
  • Volume to liquidity - negligible turnover suggests nobody is trading the token, while implausibly high turnover may indicate wash activity.
  • FDV to liquidity - a valuation 30-100 times larger than available liquidity can make the apparent market capitalization meaningless.
  • Pool age - pools younger than one day carry extreme survival risk; statistically, many disappear within a week.
  • 24-hour buys and sells - a sell imbalance of two to one or worse suggests holders are exiting.
  • Website and social presence - their absence is a warning sign when a token is presented as a serious project.

How the system works

The crptch scanner checks DEXScreener and GeckoTerminal every 15 minutes and collects metrics for new and trending tokens. Heuristics calculate a preliminary score and identify red and green flags. The analytical report then turns the structured evidence into a story and assigns the final verdict under the scale above. The server always derives the zone label (SCAM through SIGNAL) from the numerical score so that the scale remains consistent.

We learn from resolved outcomes. Each week, the team reviews the public track record: which patterns failed, which assets rallied and where verdicts missed in a systematic way. That evidence informs future scoring. Zone-level calibration is visible at /track.

Verified against price

The token price is recorded when a verdict is published. It is checked automatically after 24 hours and seven days, and the result is added to the track record. A positive verdict followed by a rise counts as a hit; a negative verdict followed by a decline also counts as a hit. CASINO is excluded from accuracy calculations because the label explicitly means that the outcome is unpredictable. If a token marked SKIP collapses, crptch may publish a follow-up noting that the verdict was confirmed.

FAQ

What is a crptch verdict?

A token score from 0 to 10 based on observable market metrics: liquidity, trading volume, FDV, pool age, the balance of buys and sells, and the project's public presence. Scores of 0-2 indicate a scam pattern; 9-10 is a rare, strong signal.

Who assigns the verdict?

The crptch system and team. Automated scanners collect metrics from DEXScreener and GeckoTerminal, heuristics flag risk indicators, and the analytical report produces the final score. Zone labels always follow the same fixed scale.

How is accuracy verified?

The token price is recorded when a verdict is published and checked automatically after 24 hours and seven days. Every resolved outcome, including misses, remains public at /track.

Is a verdict financial advice?

No. It is a risk assessment based on public market data. You remain responsible for every decision. DYOR.

Dies stellt keine Anlageempfehlung dar. DYOR.