$HOODRAT update: -68% confirms the verdict, but volume remains steady

$HOODRAT continues to plummet, but the story behind this meme coin is more interesting than just a simple crash. In our previous analysis, we gave it a 7/10 WATCH rating after a 211% surge in a single day, noting its active pool and good liquidity. In the 28 days since its launch, the price has fallen by 68% (from $0.008 to $0.0026), but here’s the surprising part: trading volume has remained solid.

What Happened Over the Past Three Weeks

The token is trading at a volume of 5.8 million USD per day with liquidity of 248k. That’s a 23.5x turnover-a sign of active trading without any stagnation. Over the past 24 hours, there have been 12.8k buys versus 9.9k sells-the balance favors buys, which contradicts the classic rug pull pattern (where everything is sold off at once).

The price is falling but not crashing-this is a typical dump: insiders and early investors are slowly offloading at any price, while retail investors are trying to accumulate. The FDV is inflated by a factor of 10.5x (2.6 million vs. 248k in liquidity)-this is also a red flag, but not fatal for volume.

Bearish signals have intensified

• There is no social activity-no website, no social media. This means that the pumps were driven either by pure internal trading or by insiders’ bots. Over the course of 681 hours of existence, this is critical.
• A -62% drop over the past 24 hours-according to our database, price drops of -30%+ over 6 hours correlate with a crash in 37% of cases, holding all other factors constant.
• It fails to maintain a Score of 7 (WATCH). Based on our track record over the past week, all tokens in the 7-8 range with similar statistics (no social media presence, young age, inflated FDV) have plummeted by -70% to -99.8%. We overestimated the quality.

Why this isn’t the end yet

Classic rug pulls (honeypot, frozen mint in the contract, LP lock) are absent. The buy/sell balance indicates real trading activity. If this were a final dump, we’d see an excess of sell orders and a dead pool. Instead, the market is liquid and functioning.

However, according to our statistics: tokens with this profile (age <30 days, no social media presence, inflated FDV, price down 30%+ in 6 hours) end in a rug pull 63% of the time. The remaining 37% involve a slow decline to -80-90% without a final crash.

The verdict from the previous analysis has been confirmed: active trading is keeping the pool from exploding, but the distribution remains a ticking time bomb. Insiders are gradually offloading their positions, while day traders are buying into the hope of a rally. The game is going all the way: either a miracle (an unexpected call or momentum), or a final -80%.