$HOODRAT update: -53% confirms the verdict, but volume is keeping it alive

$HOODRAT (Robinhood Network) surged 211% exactly one month ago and received a 7/10 WATCH rating-at the time, we wrote about its active pool and the absence of one or two critical rug pull patterns. The price has now fallen by -53%, but the story didn’t end with a crash to zero. This means our previous analysis was accurate-the meme coin simply ran through a classic pump-and-dump cycle and didn’t spiral into a rapid rug pull.

Current metrics: the pool is active, but volume is stalling

Price: $0.00386 (down from a local peak of approximately $0.008).

Liquidity: $306k-it’s remained roughly the same and didn’t evaporate in a panic (green flag from the database: with previous liquidity levels < $20k, the median crash rate was 71%; here, it’s slightly healthier).

Turnover to liquidity: 4.3x over 24 hours-it’s not dead yet. For comparison: the current normal market volume is $1.31M versus $306k in liquidity. This means people haven’t fled-they’re still trading, albeit sluggishly.

FDV: $3.8M at current liquidity-a ratio of 12.5x. This isn’t 100x “junk” nor the healthy 3-5x of a young, top-tier meme coin, but it’s not a scam beacon either.

Age: 712 hours (29 days)-the token survived the first wave and hasn’t started growing again; this is a bearish signal for a new pump cycle.

Social media presence is nonexistent, but that’s already known

The initial verdict already raised a red flag: no social media accounts or website were found. According to our database, the lack of social media activity doubles the risk of a crash by -0.32 (one of the top negative factors). A month has now passed-if there were an organic user base, social media engagement would have grown long ago. Their absence following the pump-and-dump suggests this was an insider or bot-driven pump, not a community-driven movement.

Mentions in our social media watchlist: none. The first pump wasn’t fueled by major players either.

Further risks: why it could continue to fall

• Lack of social traction. The token survived a liquidation wave, but there are no signs that interest will return for a new cycle. This is critical for meme coins-without social media, there’s no catalyst for recovery.
• The FDV is inflated by a factor of 12.5 relative to liquidity. According to our database, an FDV/liq ratio > 100x results in a 2x return in 27% of cases (and that’s the best-case scenario). At 12.5x, the situation is healthier, but there’s still potential for further sell-off-liquidity will be sucked away by photo-sells.
• The price is close to the bottom but not quite there yet. An age of 712 hours means there are still enough holders sitting on losses. With low trading volume, the first “bear taking their losses” will trigger a cascading sell-off.

How is this different from a typical scam?

In our initial analysis, we didn’t find any obvious red flags: the LP isn’t locked (which should have been a good thing, but turned out to be a double-edged sword-the deployer can dump at any moment), the mint hasn’t been revoked (risk of inflation), the top 10 holders hold a significant share. The 7/10 verdict was borderline-we based it on volume and age. Now the verdict has played out fairly: there was no lightning-fast crash in the first few hours, the pump was real (the candlesticks show active trading), and the dump happened at a human pace. This isn’t a scam in the classic sense, but rather a typical market cycle for a meme coin without a social following.

Current Verdict

We rate it 5/10 CASINO (down from 7/10 due to the proven lack of a social foundation and the sell-off phase). The token is no longer interesting for a long position-you can only trade on rebounds from the bottom, if there is one. Main risk: With an age of 712 hours and inactive social media, a growth catalyst is unlikely. The LP is not locked-keep your capital ready for a quick exit at any sign of growth.